FXUS64 KMEG 050541
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1141 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009

.DISCUSSION...
UPDATED FOR 06Z TAF CYCLE...SEE AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 854 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009/ 

UPDATE...
MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL SLOWLY EXIT THE AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS AS HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO RIDGE IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST.
DROPPED OVERNIGHT LOWS A COUPLE OF DEGREES BASED ON CURRENT
TRENDS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHEAST ARKANSAS AND THE MISSOURI
BOOTHEEL WHERE SKIES ARE QUICKLY CLEARING OUT. WINDS SHOULD ALSO
BE MAINLY CALM WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER WITH DEWPOINTS IN
THE MID TO UPPER TEENS. COMBINED...THESE ELEMENTS WILL ALLOW FOR
EXCEPTIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT. REMAINDER OF FORECAST IS ON TRACK.
UPDATE HAS BEEN SENT.

CCD

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 251 PM CST FRI DEC 4 2009/

DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS ARE MOVING INTO SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES REMAIN RATHER CHILLY WITH READINGS IN THE
MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. STORM SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO
THAT IS RESPONSIBLE FOR PRODUCING SNOW ALONG THE TEXAS GULF COAST
WILL TRACK NORTHEAST INTO NORTH FLORIDA BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
SYSTEM MAY PRODUCE A LITTLE BIT OF SNOW IN EXTREME SOUTHERN
SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS
BACK INTO THE REGION SATURDAY KEEPING THINGS DRY AND CHILLY FOR
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. BY SUNDAY...SURFACE HIGH IS EAST OF
THE REGION SO SOUTH WINDS WILL BRING SOMEWHAT WARMER AIR BACK INTO
THE FORECAST AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A GOOD CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY. A WARM FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE FORECAST
AREA MONDAY NIGHT BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN. A SIGNIFICANT
STORM SYSTEM MOVES OUT OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS TUESDAY AND INTO THE
MIDWEST ON WEDNESDAY BRINGING MORE RAIN TO THE FORECAST AREA FOR
TUESDAY...TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK
INTO THE REGION BRINGING MORE DRY AND COOL WEATHER FOR WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AND THURSDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE FORECAST
AREA.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS DOMINATE THE MID-SOUTH. WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN
LIGHT. CLOUDS IN EASTERN HALF OF AREA WILL MOVE OUT OF MID-SOUTH
BY MORNING. SOME AREAS SOUTH AND EAST OF TUPELO WILL HAVE CEILINGS
BELOW 4000 FT...MAINLY IN MONROE COUNTY. TLSJR

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  29  47  30  54 /  10  10   0  10 
MKL  23  45  22  50 /  10  10   0  10 
JBR  22  45  26  45 /  10  10   0  10 
TUP  28  46  25  52 /  10  10   0  10 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$