FXUS64 KFWD 110153
AFDFWD
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
753 PM CST THU DEC 10 2009
.UPDATE...
WITH THE EVENING FORECAST UPDATE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE WAS TO
INCREASE CLOUD COVER OVER MUCH OF NORTH TX AS HIGH TO MID LVL
CLOUDS LOOK TO HOLD IN PLACE DURING THE OVERNIGHT HRS. WITH
INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER INCREASED OVERNIGHT LOWS BY A DEGREE OR
TWO IN SOME PLACES...BUT OVERALL TEMPERATURES SEEM TO BE IN GOOD
SHAPE. MODELS CONTINUE TO BRING IN LOW CLOUDS AFTER 18Z TOMORROW
AFTERNOON...SO DID NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST BEYOND
TOMORROW AFTERNOON. CHANCES FOR RAIN CONTINUE TO LOOK BEST OVER
SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES OF THE CWA AS WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
OVER THE AREA LATE FRIDAY/FRIDAY NIGHT.
CAVANAUGH
&&
.AVIATION...
00Z TAF PACKAGE
CIRRUS CLOUDS CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF TEXAS
PROVIDING BROKEN CONDITIONS AT KACT AND SCATTERED CONDITIONS IN THE
METROPLEX. THE CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE TO MIGRATE NORTH RESULTING IN
BROKEN CONDITIONS EVERYWHERE OVERNIGHT. LIGHT EAST WINDS WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE NIGHT...EVENTUALLY BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. DURING THE FRIDAY MORNING HOURS...LOW CLOUDS
WITH BASES AROUND 050-060 WILL RETURN TO NORTH TEXAS MOVING INTO
KACT AROUND 11/12Z AND THE METROPLEX CLOSER TO 11/18Z. THE LOWER
CLOUDS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
82/JLD
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 320 PM CST THU DEC 10 2009/
ONE MORE COLD NIGHT TONIGHT AND CHILLY DAY TOMORROW BEFORE
TEMPERATURES WARM UP FOR THE WEEKEND. EXPECT LOWS TONIGHT IN THE
20S FOR THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA...WITH LOW TO MID 30S OVER
THE SOUTHERN ZONES. FOR FRIDAY...EXPECT HIGHS IN THE MID/UPPER 40S
FOR MUCH OF THE REGION.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL RETURN ON FRIDAY...PUMPING MOISTURE INTO THE
AREA FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. EXPECT LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS FRIDAY AND
FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A
KILLEEN TO CANTON LINE.
DESPITE THE NAM AND GFS 1000-500MB RELATIVE HUMIDITY FIELDS
SHOWING DRYING SATURDAY...FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT A DIFFERENT
STORY. EXPECT LOW COUDS...FOG..AND DRIZZLE TO HANG AROUND MUCH OF
THE DAY ON SATURDAY...TRAPPED BENEATH A STRONG INVERSION. THIS
WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES SOMEWHAT LOWER...BUT STILL WARMER THAN THE
LAST FEW DAYS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S WILL BE COMMON EAST OF
I-35...WITH LOWER 60S WEST OF THE INTERSTATE. THESE READINGS WILL
BE CLOSE TO SEASONABLE NORMS.
THE WARM WEATHER WILL BE IN FULL SWING FOR SUNDAY...WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO BE WELL ABOVE NORMAL. THE REGION WILL BE
ENTRENCHED IN STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW...ALLOWING FOR 850MB TEMPS
NEAR 14C TO SNEAK INTO NORTH TEXAS. HIGHS SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
TEMPS WILL COOL DOWN A BIT ON MONDAY...AS CLOUDS INVADE WITH
ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE FOR LIGHT RAIN. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
NORTH TEXAS MONDAY NIGHT...DROPPING HIGHS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY BACK
INTO THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S.
SCHULTZ
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX 29 44 38 56 45 / 5 10 20 20 10
WACO, TX 34 45 43 60 48 / 5 10 40 20 10
PARIS, TX 26 45 33 48 43 / 5 10 30 20 10
DENTON, TX 28 45 37 58 43 / 5 10 20 20 10
MCKINNEY, TX 28 45 35 53 43 / 5 10 20 20 10
DALLAS, TX 32 44 40 55 48 / 5 10 30 20 10
TERRELL, TX 30 46 39 55 48 / 5 10 30 20 10
CORSICANA, TX 32 47 39 55 46 / 5 10 50 20 10
TEMPLE, TX 35 44 43 58 45 / 5 20 40 20 10
&&
.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&
$$
