FXUS62 KTBW 070119
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
819 PM EST SUN DEC 6 2009

.UPDATE...FAST UPPER FLOW OVER THE REGION STREAMING UPPER MOISTURE
OVER THE E GULF AND FL PENINSULA. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE MOVING EAST
OVER THE CAROLINAS TO VEER WINDS LOW LEVEL MORE EASTERLY ALLOWING
TEMPS AND MOISTURE TO MODERATE. 00Z SOUNDING SHOWING VERY DRY AIR
ABOVE 5K FT WITH ALL MOISTURE TRAPPED BELOW INVERSION. PWATS ONLY
NEAR A HALF INCH BUT ENOUGH LIFT UNDER INVERSION TO PRODUCE LOW
LEVEL SATURATION. COMBINATION OF THESE LOW CLOUDS AND CIRRUS OVERHEAD
TO KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY OVERNIGHT WITH ONLY PATCHY FOG IN TYPICAL
FOG PRONE AREAS. ALL THESE FACTORS TO KEEP TEMPERATURES NOT AS COOL
AS LAST NIGHT WITH MIN TEMPS AROUND NORMAL/ GRIDS AND FORECASTS ON
TRACK.

&&

.AVIATION...NE WINDS AND INCREASING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
LOW CLOUDS AND FOG TONIGHT. CIGS PREVAILING MVFR WITH TEMPO IFR TO LCL
LIFR LATE NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MORNING. EXPECT ENOUGH WIND TO LIMIT FOG
TO MVFR. MVFR CIGS LIFT TO VFR AFTER 18-20Z. WINDS BACK TO NORTH OR
NW IN THE AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...2-4MB GRADIENT OVER THE EASTERN GULF FOR FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS
AND SEAS OVERNIGHT. LATEST BUOY REPORTS HAVE SEAS 2 TO LESS THAN 3 FEET
OFFSHORE AND WINDS OF 10-15 KNOTS OF LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  58  76  61  79 /  10  10  10  20 
FMY  61  80  62  83 /  20  10  10  20 
GIF  58  78  60  81 /  10  10  10  20 
SRQ  58  77  61  79 /  20  10  10  20 
BKV  53  76  56  80 /  10  10  10  20 
SPG  58  75  62  77 /  10  10  10  20 

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/MARINE...25/DAVIS 
AVIATION...09/RUDE