FXUS64 KMEG 230542
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1142 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009

.UPDATE...

UPDATED FOR 06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 844 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009/ 

DISCUSSION...

LIGHT SHOWERS WERE NOTED OVER NORTHEAST ARKANSAS THIS EVENING.
RAIN WILL LIKELY INCREASE OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER...HOWEVER MEASURABLE RAINFALL OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE MIDSOUTH CANNOT BE RULED OUT. THUS THE RAIN FORECAST WILL
REMAIN UNCHANGED. INTENSITY SHOULD PICK UP WEST OF THE RIVER AFTER
4 AM. THE BULK OF HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL WAIT UNTIL THURSDAY TO
AFFECT THE REMAINDER OF THE REGION. 

OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR 50 DEGREES. BUMPED THEM UP
SLIGHTLY FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. WINDS WILL INCREASE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. NO OTHER CHANGES NECESSARY.

AC

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF CYCLE

VFR CIGS WILL INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS.
MVFR CIGS ALONG WITH INCREASING LIGHT RAIN CHANCES CAN BE EXPECTED
A COUPLE HOURS PRIOR TO SUNRISE WEST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
SPREADING TO SITES EAST OF THE RIVER BY SUNRISE. CIGS SHOULD LOWER
FURTHER ON WEDNESDAY WITH IFR CIGS BY LATE MORNING AS RAIN BECOMES INCREASINGLY
WIDESPREAD ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE AND BECOME QUITE GUSTY OUT OF THE
SOUTHEAST ON WEDNESDAY. VISBYS SHOULD SLOWLY DROP THROUGH THE DAY
AS WELL. HAVE INTRODUCED A TEMPO FOR THUNDER WEDNESDAY EVENING AS
INSTABILITY ALOFT INCREASES. WINDS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT. 

JLH

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  52  58  52  56 /  80  90  80 100 
MKL  49  57  50  57 /  50  80  70 100 
JBR  50  56  50  52 /  90  90  90 100 
TUP  46  59  51  61 /  30  60  60 100 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$