FXUS64 KSHV 291719
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1119 AM CST SUN NOV 29 2009
.DISCUSSION...
TEMPS HAVE BEEN STEADILY WARMING THIS MORNING...WITH SOUTHERLY
WINDS BENEATH DEEP SW FLOW. SHALLOW CONVECTION GRADUALLY
INCREASING NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20...WHILE PCPN FURTHER SOUTH WILL
BE SLOW TO DEVELOP. THUS...RAISED TEMPS...ESPECIALLY IN PCPN FREE
AREA...WHERE LOW CLOUDS ARE LIFTING AND MAY SEE TEMPS REACH MID
70S. SIMILARLY...REDUCED POPS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE...LEAVING MUCH
OF SOUTHERN TIER OF CWA ONLY 30 PERCENT POPS./VII/
&&
.AVIATION...
CUTOFF UPPER LOW SPINNING OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND A SURFACE
FRONT OVER CENTRAL OKLAHOMA WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER MAKERS FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE AHEAD OF THE FRONT...A
SOUTHWEST FLOW UP INTO THE MIDDLE LEVELS IS SPREADING GULF OF MEXICO
AND PACIFIC MOISTURE NORTHEASTWARD THAT WILL PROVIDE A WIDESPREAD
LOWERING OF THE CLOUDS TO MVFR TO IFR CATEGORIES THROUGH TODAY. WITH
THE ONSET OF MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN THE CEILINGS WILL RETURN BACK TO
MVFR TO IFR WITH LOW VISIBILITIES IN RAIN AND FOG DURING THE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT HOURS. MOISTURE WILL BE COMBINING WITH A COLD FRONT
THAT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD OVER THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING PRODUCING WIDESPREAD RAIN AND SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS THAT WILL CARRY INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND END FROM
WEST TO EAST ON MONDAY. WINDS WILL BE SOUTH 7 TO 14 KNOTS TODAY WITH
A WIND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST FOLLOWED BY NORTHWEST OVERNIGHT. WINDS
ON MONDAY WILL BE 8 TO 16 KNOTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS. /04/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 73 51 57 42 53 / 50 90 20 10 50
MLU 72 51 55 41 53 / 40 90 30 10 50
DEQ 68 44 58 32 54 / 60 70 0 0 30
TXK 67 46 57 37 54 / 60 90 10 0 30
ELD 68 49 56 37 54 / 60 90 20 0 30
TYR 74 46 58 41 52 / 60 90 10 10 60
GGG 74 49 58 41 52 / 50 90 10 10 60
LFK 76 54 57 44 49 / 40 90 40 30 60
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
