FXUS64 KSHV 262217 CCA
AFDSHV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTION TO ADD AVIATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
409 PM CST THU NOV 26 2009
.DISCUSSION...
THIN CIRRUS IS MOVING IN OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER AND STILL LOOKS TO
BE SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD. OTHERWISE...STILL PRETTY GOOD
RADIATIONAL COOLING YET TO TAKE PLACE OVERNIGHT WITH SFC HIGH AT
1026 MB JUST EAST OF AUSTIN TEXAS. OUR WINDS WILL DROP OFF AFTER
SUNSET AND A DECENT FROST IS LIKELY FOR MUCH OF THE NORTH AND
EAST. NO CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED FREEZE
WARNING...ALTHOUGH GREAT DEBATE IN MY MIND OVER ADDING A COUPLE
MORE PARISHES. NAMELY BOSSIER...WHICH IS SLIGHTLY MORE SHELTERED
THAN CADDO FROM THE SLIGHT RETURN FLOW BY DAYBREAK WIND AND ALSO
CALDWELL. HOWEVER...SETTLED ON JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN LIGHT OF THE
ENCROACHING CLOUDS. SUFFICE IT TO SAY...TENDER PLANTS MAY HAVE
ALREADY BEEN AFFECTED TWO NIGHTS AGO. NOT EXACTLY PIPE WRAPPING
WEATHER...BUT IT WILL AFFECT EVEN MORE HARDY VEGETATION BY SUNUP
WITH A GOOD DURATION...LIGHT FREEZE. WE/LL SEE HOW THINGS GO THIS
EVENING AS THE CLOUDS MAY PLAY A LARGE ROLE.
THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON THE EVOLUTION OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM SUN/MON WITH A LINGERING PORTION OF THE TROUGH BACK OUT
WEST UNTIL WEDNESDAY. THE HEAVY RAIN AND SUCH WILL WORK IN LATE
SUNDAY...OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY...ENDING DURING THE DAY. THEN
THE NEXT UPPER LOW WHICH GETS BRIEFLY CUT OFF...LIFTS OVERHEAD
INTO MIDWEEK WITH MORE LIGHT RAIN FOR THE AREA MOVING BACK IN
DURING TUESDAY. DECIDED TO KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE GOING AS
OVERRUNNING IS USUALLY OFF A BIT ON TIMING. MAV/MEX BLENDED INTO
MOST TEMP GRIDS. /24/
&&
.AVIATION...
SOME CIRRUS CLOUDS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST...WHILE
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE PERIOD. /23/
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV 33 67 44 69 54 / 0 0 0 10 20
MLU 32 63 41 67 49 / 0 0 0 10 20
DEQ 27 66 39 67 49 / 0 0 0 10 20
TXK 35 66 46 69 55 / 0 0 0 10 20
ELD 30 65 40 68 50 / 0 0 0 10 20
TYR 38 68 48 69 58 / 0 0 0 10 20
GGG 35 67 45 69 57 / 0 0 0 10 20
LFK 35 68 46 70 57 / 0 0 0 10 20
&&
.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FREEZE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: ARZ060-061-071>073.
LA...FREEZE WARNING FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM CST FRIDAY FOR
THE FOLLOWING ZONES: LAZ003>006-012>014.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&
$$
24/23
