FXUS61 KPHI 021604 PAA
AFDPHI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1104 AM EST WED DEC 2 2009
.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE GULF COAST STATES WILL LIFT NORTHEASTWARD
THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS STORM IS FORECAST TO BE NEAR EASTERN LAKE
ONTARIO EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED STRONG COLD FRONT
WILL SWEEP ACROSS OUR AREA LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN CONTINUE RAPIDLY
NORTHEASTWARD AND AWAY FROM OUR REGION DURING THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY BUILD IN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES COAST
AND TRACK OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST OVER THE WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WILL DRIFT OFF TO THE EAST
TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE HEADS NORTHEAST FROM THE GULF COAST STATES.
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WAS OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WITH A
TRAILING COLD FRONT FROM MICHIGAN TO ILLINOIS AND DOWN TO THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE. AN UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWED A STRONG 300 MB JET
FROM THE MIDWEST TO NEW ENGLAND. A SECONDARY WIND MAXIMUM AT THIS
LEVEL WAS ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A MIDLEVEL TROUGH
WAS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND A CLOSED LOW WAS OVER TEXAS.
STRONG WAA AT 850 MB WAS FOCUSED NEAR LAKE HURON WITH ANOTHER AREA
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
TODAY STARTS OUT AS THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM, AFTER A COLD START IN
MANY AREAS. A RATHER DYNAMIC STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH THE AREA
DURING THE DAY, WITH THE BULK OF THE IMPACTS OCCURRING DURING THE
START OF THE SHORT TERM TIME FRAME. THE MODEL GUIDANCE APPEARS TO BE
IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN TRACKING THE SURFACE LOW FROM THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST REGION THIS MORNING TO THE OHIO VALLEY TOWARD EVENING. THIS
SURFACE LOW WILL BE INTENSIFYING AS IT MOVES NORTHEASTWARD IN
RESPONSE TO UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENCE. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE INCREASE
TODAY, WITH MOST OF IT INITIALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER-LEVELS. THIS
WILL ALLOW THE HIGH CLOUDINESS TO CONTINUE TO THICKEN UP AND LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY. THERE IS STRONG THETA-E ADVECTION FORECAST AT 700
MB TO ARRIVE BY THE EARLY EVENING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THIS IS IN
CONJUNCTION WITH INCREASED WAA AT 850 MB AS A LOW-LEVEL JET RAMPS UP
SIGNIFICANTLY. THIS SETUP LEADS TO STRENGTHENING ISENTROPIC LIFT,
WHICH WILL ALLOW A RAIN SHIELD TO GRADUALLY WORK NORTHWARD. THE GFS
IS A BIT FASTER STILL THAN THE NAM/WRF AND GIVEN THE DRY LOW-LEVEL
AIR THAT IS IN PLACE, WE WILL FAVOR THE SLIGHTLY SLOWER MODEL
SOLUTIONS. THE 00Z ECMWF PRECIPITATION ADVANCEMENT TIMING LOOKS
CLOSER TO THE NAM/WRF.
CLOUDINESS WILL CONTINUE TO THICKEN AND LOWER TODAY WITH POPS
INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY. IT MAY TAKE NEARLY ALL DAY FOR THE
PRECIPITATION TO GET TO OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES. THE HIGHEST POPS
WILL BE CONFINED TO OUR SOUTHERN ZONES AS THE GREATEST LIFT MOVES
INTO THESE AREAS FIRST, AND WE TRIED TO TIGHTEN UP THE POP
GRADIENT A BIT AS IT MOVES FROM SOUTH TO NORTH.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, WE GENERALLY UTILIZED AN EVENLY WEIGHTED BLEND
OF THE GFS AND NAM MOS AS THIS SPLIT THE DIFFERENCE FOR SOME
LOCALES.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE GOING DOWN HILL RAPIDLY TONIGHT AS AN
INTENSIFYING SURFACE LOW TRACKS TO OUR WEST. THIS FEATURE WILL BE
ACCOMPANIED BY STRONG DYNAMICS, IN THE FORM OF STRONG WAA ALOFT,
LOW-LEVEL THETA-E ADVECTION, AND UPPER-LEVEL DIVERGENCE. ALL OF THIS
WILL BE COMBINED WITH A ROBUST WIND FIELD AND THIS CAUSES A CONCERN.
THE MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE TRACK OF THE
SURFACE LOW AND THE UNDERLYING WIND FIELDS. THESE ITEMS MENTIONED
ABOVE WILL TRANSPORT A GOOD AMOUNT OF MOISTURE ACROSS OUR AREA
TONIGHT, AS DEW POINTS AT 850 MB GET TO OR EXCEED 10C FOR A TIME. IT
IS A TRICKY FORECAST WITH RESPECT TO THE DETAILS AS A WARM SECTOR
TYPE FEATURE IS FORECAST TO BE WORKING NORTHWARD DURING THE COURSE
OF THE NIGHT. HOWEVER, OUR NORTHWESTERN ZONES MAY GET MORE OF AN
OCCLUDED FRONTAL PASSAGE, THEREFORE THE TRUE WARM SECTOR MAY NOT
ACTUALLY GET THERE. THIS WILL LIKELY PLAY HAVOC WITH THE HOURLY
TEMPERATURE GRIDS /MORE ON THIS AT THE END/.
AS THE WAA ALONG WITH GOOD MOISTURE TRANSPORT TAKES PLACE TONIGHT,
THERE IS ELEVATED INSTABILITY THAT BECOMES GENERATED ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. WE ARE HOPING THAT GREATER
INSTABILITY DOES NOT BECOME REALIZED GIVEN THAT THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW
WILL LIKELY BE BACKED FOR AWHILE TONIGHT, AND THE FORECAST SOUNDINGS
INDICATE A GOOD AMOUNT OF HELICITY. SPC MAINTAINS A GENERAL
THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK FOR OUR CWA AND WE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE CHC
OF THUNDER BUT TRY TO DEPICT THIS POTENTIAL MOVING NORTHWARD THROUGH
THE NIGHT AS THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY DEVELOPS. THIS LEADS TO
ANOTHER CONCERN AND THAT IS THE SYNOPTIC WIND FIELD. THE MODELS
GENERALLY ARE FORECASTING 40 TO 70 KNOTS OF WIND AT 925 MB OVERNIGHT
ACROSS OUR CWA WITH THE STRONGEST POSITIONED ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN AND
EASTERN ZONES. GIVEN THAT THERE WILL BE TREMENDOUS WIND NOT TO FAR
ABOVE THE SURFACE, SOME STRONG WIND GUSTS WILL BE A POSSIBILITY AT
THE SURFACE. THIS IS MOSTLY WITHIN A WAA REGIME SO CONFIDENCE ON HOW
MUCH OF THIS CAN MIX DOWN TO THE SURFACE IS ON THE LOWER. SOME THINGS
THAT MAY BE ABLE TO HELP MIX IT DOWN MORE EFFICIENTLY WOULD BE MORE
OF A WARM SECTOR, HEAVIER RAIN AND ESPECIALLY CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS.
WE HAVE BEEN TOSSING AROUND THE IDEA OF A WIND ADVISORY OR EVEN A
HIGH WIND WATCH. AFTER COLLABORATING WITH OUR NEIGHBORING OFFICES, WE
DECIDED TO GO WITH A WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT FOR ALL OF THE
IMMEDIATE COASTAL COUNTIES GIVEN THE WIND DIRECTION AND SOMEWHAT
HIGHER CONFIDENCE OF A TRUE WARM SECTOR ARRIVING HERE. WILL HOLD
OFF FOR NOW THE ADJACENT INLAND COUNTIES AS CONFIDENCE IS LOWER
THE FARTHER INLAND ONE GOES. THEREFORE, WE PLACED THE STRONGER
WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN AREAS BUT BUMPED UP THE
WINDS FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF THE NORTHWESTERN ZONES. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT ALL OF THIS IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.
THE RAIN MAY BE HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT AND IT LOOKS LIKE 1.0 TO 1.5
INCHES ON AVERAGE ACROSS THE CWA. SOME OF THIS MAY COME DOWN IN A
RELATIVELY SHORT PERIOD OF TIME, HOWEVER THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE
VALUES INDICATE THAT WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO HANDLE THIS. A POSSIBLE
PROBLEM WOULD BE IF CONVECTION GENERATED LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. AS
OF NOW, WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED, HOWEVER SOME STREET
AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING WILL BE A GOOD POSSIBILITY ESPECIALLY
DURING TIMES OF HEAVIER RAINFALL. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION THIS
IN THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AS WELL.
AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES TOWARD NEW ENGLAND THURSDAY MORNING, THE
COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP THROUGH RATHER QUICKLY EARLY ON.
THIS WILL TEND TO BRING A QUICK END TO THE RAIN WITH SOME CLEARING
WORKING IN FROM THE WEST. IT APPEARS THAT THE WIND FIELD WILL BE
WEAKENING SOME AS THE FRONT COMES THROUGH AND THE TRUE CAA LOOKS TO
BE DELAYED FOR A TIME. THIS MAY PREVENT MORE WIND FROM REACHING THE
SURFACE WITH AND IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. THURSDAY
STILL LOOKS LIKE A BREEZY TO WINDY DAY THOUGH WITH ENOUGH LOW-LEVEL
WINDS PRESENT ALONG WITH CAA TO STEEPEN THE LAPSE RATES. THIS IS
EXPECTED TO BE BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA HOWEVER.
THE WINDS DIMINISH THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AS THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT RELAXES AND HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY BUILDS EASTWARD FROM
THE PLAINS. THE UPPER-LEVEL FLOW HOWEVER LOOKS TO REMAIN ACTIVE AS A
BAROCLINIC ZONE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN AND EVEN TIGHTEN UP WELL TO
OUR EAST AND DOWN IN THE GULF OF MEXICO. OUR WEATHER SHOULD BE MORE
TRANQUIL FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE GRADUALLY SETTLES INTO OUR REGION,
WITH ENERGY GATHERING IN THE GULF OF MEXICO.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, WE MOSTLY USED A BLENDED APPROACH OF THE
GFS/NAM MOS. GIVEN THE STRENGTHENING WAA AND LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD
TONIGHT, WE CONTINUED WITH A NON-DIURNAL TREND. THE MOS GUIDANCE IS
INDICATING THIS TO SOME EXTENT AND WE WILL THEREFORE PLACE THE LOW
TEMPERATURES EARLIER ON AND THEN INDICATE EITHER STEADY OR GRADUAL
RISING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE NIGHT. AS THE WARM SECTOR EDGES
NORTHWARD, SOME PLACES MAY BE INTO THE 60S BY DAYBREAK THURSDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
5-WAVE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS A STAUNCH LATITUDINAL TROUGH PLACED OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE UNITED STATES. THE TROUGH BEGINS TO
RETROGRADE A BIT WITH A MASSIVE WEST COAST RIDGE BUILDING IN AND
MOVING NORTHWARD. A POLAR VORTEX LOOKS TO TAKE SHAPE OVER FAR
NORTHEASTERN CANADA AND SLOWLY SINK SOUTHWESTWARD LATE IN THE PERIOD.
AS THE LOW PRESSURE IN THE EARLIER PERIOD WINDS DOWN AND MOVES
FURTHER OFFSHORE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD INTO THE
REGION. FRIDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO BE COLD WITH CALMING WINDS. FROM WHAT
THE MODELS ARE SHOWING, THE COLD AIR JUST DOES NOT SEEM TO BE WELL
ENTRENCHED. HOWEVER, WITH THAT BEING SAID, SOME FORECAST SOUNDINGS
ARE SPITTING OUT RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY. FREEZING LEVELS
DURING THE DAY HOVER AROUND 1,500 TO 2,000 FEET IN THE PHILADELPHIA
METRO AREA WITH WET BULB TEMPERATURES NEAR THE SURFACE IN THE LOW
TO MID 30S. THERE DOES APPEAR TO BE AN INDICATION OF LOW-LEVEL
DRYNESS, WHICH MAY TAKE A WHILE TO OVERCOME WITH FALLING
PRECIPITATION. IF WE GET A HEAVY BURST OF PRECIPITATION /I.E. THE
PRECIPITATION SHIELD IS ABLE TO BACK WESTWARD/, SINCE ABOVE 950 MB
IT IS BELOW FREEZING AND THE SNOW GROWTH ZONE IS MOIST ADIABATIC,
WE COULD SEE ADIABATIC COOLING TAKE PLACE DUE TO SUBLIMATION. IF
SOME SNOW DOES OCCUR, WE MAY THEN HAVE BOUNDARY LAYER TEMPERATURE
ISSUES AS THE DAYTIME COULD BE WHEN THE BETTER CHC OF
PRECIPITATION OCCURS.
HOWEVER, EVERYTHING IS CONTINGENT ON THE PLACEMENT AND TRACK OF THE
COASTAL LOW. THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE BEEN GOING BACK AND FORTH WITH
RESPECT TO HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST IT GETS. BASICALLY THE MODELS ARE
NOT SURE WHAT THEY WANT TO DO WITH THIS NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM,
AND IT WILL LIKELY DEPEND ON THE POSITIONING OF THE UPPER-LEVEL
TROUGH. INTERESTING TO NOTE THAT THE TUESDAY GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS
MOSTLY KEEP THE STORM WELL TO OUR EAST. THE 00Z ECMWF SHOWS A
HEALTHY BAROCLINIC ZONE TO OUR EAST HOWEVER THE SURFACE WAVE IS
RATHER FAR OFF SHORE. IF THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH CAN SHARPEN UP, IT
MAY BE ENOUGH TO PULL THE SURFACE LOW BACK TO THE WEST A TAD. GIVEN
THE UNCERTAINTY, WE WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
ON SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
ONCE THIS COASTAL STORM PULLS AWAY, A MIDWEST HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL ENCOMPASS THE REGION AND DRIVE OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY, ESPECIALLY THE
SATURDAY TIME FRAME, WE DID NOT MAKE ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES. WE
BLENDED IN A SMALL PERCENTAGE OF THE 00Z MOSGUIDE FOR SOME FIELDS TO
INTRODUCE SOME NEWER GUIDANCE INTO THE FORECAST.
&&
.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.
VFR WEATHER PREVAILS OVER THE ENTIRE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST
STATES. THE SOUTHERN AREAS ARE DETERIORATING AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES
NORTHEAST AND INTENSIFIES TODAY. THIS IS A FAST MOVING SYSTEM BUT IS
HAS MANY AVIATION ADVISORY INGREDIENTS, BEGINNING WITH THE
CONVECTIVE THREAT; SOME LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR; POURING RAINS AND AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF LIFR. BEST GUESS FOR THIS TO OCCUR IS...
STATION...............PERIOD....
...................IFR.......
KRDG..................03/00Z-09Z
KABE..................03/03Z-12Z
KTTN..................03/03Z-12Z
KPNE..................03/00Z-12Z
KPHL..................03/00Z-12Z
KILG..................03/00Z-12Z
KMIV..................03/00Z-12Z
KACY..................03/03Z-12Z
THE STRONGEST WINDS SETTING UP FROM THE SOUTHEAST AFTER 03/00Z WITH
SUSTAINED OF 25 IN SOME AREAS AND GUSTS TO 40 KT CLOSER TO THE
COAST.. THE WINDS BACK TO THE SOUTH AROUND 06-07Z THU THEN CONTINUE
AROUND TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST AFTER 15Z ON THURSDAY. WINDS
DIMINISH QUICKLY IN THE AFTERNOON. WE SHOULD STAY VFR UNTIL SATURDAY
MORNING.
OUTLOOK...
WE SHOULD STAY VFR UNTIL SATURDAY MORNING. A STRUNG OUT LOW WILL
MOVE PARALLEL TO THE COAST BUT CLIP PERHAPS KACY/KMIV WITH SOME
LIGHT PRECIPITATION THAT WOULD GRADUALLY LOWER CIGS TO MVFR.
OTHERWISE VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON WOULD BE A PERFECT TIME TO
TAKE ADVANTAGE OF A LITTLE NEAR OR INSHORE FISHING BECAUSE IT WILL
BE THE BEST WEATHER FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. AT 2 AM BUOY 44009
REPORTS A 2 FT SEA EVERY 5 SECONDS AND SEAS INSIDE DELAWARE BAY 1
FT. TEXAS TOWER 4 AT HUDSON CANYON REPORTS 250 WINDS AT 12 WITH A 3
FT SEA EVERY 5 SECONDS. HIGH PRESSURE BRINGING THE NICE WEATHER
MOVES OFF THE COAST THIS AFTERNOON AND ALL EYES TURN TO A DEVELOPING
STORM OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THIS STORM WILL NOT MOVE TO
THE COAST AND BECOME A NOR'EASTER BUT RATHER REMAIN WELL INLAND AS
IT MOVES UP EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES ON THURSDAY. THE PROBLEM IS
HIGH PRESSURE OFFSHORE AND THE DEEPENING LOW WILL CAUSE A VERY
TIGHT SOUTHERLY WIND GRADIENT THAT AT TIME WILL PRODUCE STORM FORCE
WINDS IN OUR WATERS.
BY THIS EVENING SMALL CRAFT CONDITIONS WILL BE OCCURRING BUT WE'RE
JUST GOING TO GO STRAIGHT INTO A GALE WARNING BECAUSE OF THE
RAPIDLY AT WHICH THE STORM IS MOVING AND THE RAPID INCREASE IN THE
WIND. THIS WILL BE A SHORT STORM IN DURATION BUT THERE WILL BE ABOUT
A 12 TO 15 HOUR OF STORMY WEATHER. SOME STORM FORCE GUSTS ARE NOT
OUT OF THE QUESTION ESPECIALLY SINCE WE ARE LOOKING AT 70 TO 80 KTS
AT 3 TO 4,000 FT OVERHEAD. THIS WILL BE NO TIME TO HEAD TO THE
CANYONS EITHER. AT LEAST GALE FORCE AND POSSIBLY HIGHER WINDS ARE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAYS AT ALL THE OFFSHORE CANYONS.
BY THURSDAY MORNING THE STORM WILL BE JUST EAST OF LAKE HURON BUT
THE CIRCULATION AROUND IT WILL REMAIN STRONG WITH OFFSHORE WINDS
GUSTING TO GALE FORCE BUT DIMINISHING BEFORE THURSDAY EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE COASTAL WATERS LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SERIES OF LOW PRESSURE WILL FORM IN THE GULF
AND ON THE SOUTHEAST COAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND TRACK NORTHEAST
PARALLELING THE MID ATLANTIC COAST. THERE WILL BE NORTHEAST WINDS
AND SEAS OVER THE WEEKEND LIMITING YOUR TIME AT SEA BUT HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE COAST LATE SUNDAY BRINGING NICE WEATHER
INTO TUESDAY.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
HAVE OPTED TO ISSUE A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY BUT THIS IS GOING TO BE
FOR THE ONE HIGH TIDE FOR THURSDAY MORNING. THE HIGH TIDE OCCURS ON
THE OCEAN FRONT BETWEEN 7 AND 830 AM. ALSO HAVE ISSUED IT FOR THE NJ
SIDE OF THE DELAWARE BAY FOR THE EAST POINT AREA WHERE THE HIGH TIDE
IS BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM. THE WINDS WILL BE SOUTHEAST AND STRONG FOR A
TIME AND BLOWING UP THE DELAWARE BAY. THIS IS WHERE THE TIDE IS
GOING TO DEPART BY ABOUT 1.4 FEET. WILL RESULT IN SOME MINOR
FLOODING BUT THE WAVES ACROSS THE BAY MAY AGGRAVATE THE SITUATION
AND ALSO THE HEAVY RAIN.
A SURF ADVISORY IS ALSO UP FOR THE PERIOD SEVERAL HOURS BEFORE THE
HIGH TIDE AND A COUPLE HOURS AFTER WITH THE WAVE SET UP DUE TO THE
STRONG WINDS AT THAT TIME AND WHERE THERE HAS BEEN SOME DUNE DAMAGE.
ALONG WITH THE SUITE OF PRODUCTS WILL ALSO BE ISSUING ANOTHER PNS
FOR THE MOST AFFECTED AREAS.
&&
.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...WIND ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
NJZ014-026.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
NJZ014-021-023>026.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR NJZ021-
023>026.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
NJZ024-025.
DE...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
DEZ003-004.
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM EST THURSDAY FOR DEZ004.
WIND ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 AM EST THURSDAY FOR
DEZ004.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 5 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
ANZ430-431-450>455.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...GORSE/RPW
NEAR TERM...GORSE/RPW
SHORT TERM...GORSE
LONG TERM...GORSE/HEAVENER
AVIATION...EBERWINE
MARINE...EBERWINE
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...EBERWINE
