FXUS62 KMLB 051503
AFDMLB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
1003 AM EST SAT DEC 5 2009

.DISCUSSION...

QUICK AFD UPDATE FOR TOR WATCH #795. WHILE THE WATCH IS IN EFFECT
UNTIL 3 PM/20Z...IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT THE SEVERE WEATHER/TORNADO
THREAT FOR COUNTIES WITHIN OUR CWA WILL DIMINISH FROM NW TO SE
THROUGH AROUND NOON. BRIEF NWD PUSH OF HIGHER CAPES INTO THE SERN
CWA WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS STRONG PRES RISES ASCD WITH POST-FROPA
NW SURGE OF COOLER AIR IS ALREADY IMPINGING ON THE NWRN CWA.

&&

.AVIATION...WDSPRD PREVAILING MVFR WITH AREAS IFR CIGS/VSBYS IN
LGT TO MDT RAIN/MIST. CIGS SHOULD TRANSITION NW-SE TWD THE HIGH
END OF IMC (FL008-010) AND THEN TO MVFR ASCD WITH IMPENDING FROPA.

&&

.MARINE...NO CHGS. WINDS WILL FLOP BACK AROUND TO NW AND INCREASE AS
LOW PRES ON THE ATLC SIDE OF THE PENINSULA BCMS DOMINANT FEATURE...
LEADING TO SCA WINDS (BOTH NEAR AND OFFSHORE) AND SEAS (OFFSHORE
ONLY) THIS AFTERNOON INTO TNGT.

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR INDIAN RIVER-
     MARTIN-OKEECHOBEE-ST. LUCIE.

AM...TORNADO WATCH UNTIL 3 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL WATERS 
     FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR 
     COASTAL WATERS FROM FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY 
     LINE OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO 
     JUPITER INLET OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD 
     COUNTY LINE TO SEBASTIAN INLET OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST SUNDAY FOR WATERS FROM 
     FLAGLER BEACH TO VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE 20 TO 60 NM 
     OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO JUPITER INLET 20 TO 
     60 NM OFFSHORE-WATERS FROM VOLUSIA BREVARD COUNTY LINE TO 
     SEBASTIAN INLET 20 TO 60 NM OFFSHORE.

&&

$$

CRISTALDI/PENDERGRAST