FXUS64 KMEG 120512 AAA
AFDMEG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
1112 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009

.DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 843 PM CST FRI DEC 11 2009/

CLOUDS ARE STARTING TO INCREASE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THIS EVENING WHILE SKIES REMAIN CLEAR OVER EASTERN
SECTIONS. TEMPERATURES ARE RANGING FROM THE MID 20S TO UPPER 30S.
CLOUDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE ENTIRE
FORECAST AREA. WILL NEED TO SEND UPDATE TO REMOVE SOME EVENING
WORDING BUT NO MAJOR CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

ARS

&&

.AVIATION...

06Z TAF CYCLE (12/06Z-13/06Z)

LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE EARLIER FORECAST. VFR CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AFTER 12/12Z SATURDAY AS A WARM FRONT MOVES TOWARD THE
AREA. FLYING CONDITIONS WILL DETERIORATE DURING THE DAY SATURDAY
WITH CONDITIONS FIRST BECOMING MVFR...THEN IFR. MAY EVENTUALLY SEE
DEVELOPMENT OF LIFR CONDITIONS BUT CONFIDENCE TO0 LOW TO MENTION
ATTM. WILL NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME -PL AT THE INITIAL ONSET
OF THE PRECIPITATION...BUT CONFIDENCE REMAINS TOO LOW TO MENTION
IN THE TAFS.

JCL

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MEM  32  41  40  56 /  10  90  80  10 
MKL  27  40  40  53 /  10  90  80  10 
JBR  28  39  38  50 /  10  80  60  10 
TUP  31  43  43  58 /  10 100  90  30 

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
MO...NONE.
MS...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

$$