FXUS64 KOUN 022302
AFDOUN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
500 PM CST WED DEC 2 2009

.AVIATION...
WILL DROP WIND SPEEDS OFF QUICKLY AFTER FIRST HOUR OR SO AS SFC 
DECOUPLES. OTHERWISE WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN MID CLOUDS OVERNIGHT 
INTO THU MORNING FROM WEST TO EAST WITH 8 TO 10 THOUSAND FOOT 
CEILINGS AT MOST LOCATIONS.

30

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CST WED DEC 2 2009/

.DISCUSSION...
ATTENTION FIRST GOES TO LOW TEMPERATURES TONIGHT. EXPECT SUB-
FREEZING TEMPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA BY SUNRISE. IT IS SUSPECTED
THAT MANY LOCATIONS IN THE SOUTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA HAVE JUST
FLIRTED WITH THE FREEZING MARK THUS FAR THIS SEASON. THEREFORE...
A FREEZE WARNING WILL BE ISSUED FOR THESE COUNTIES. ANY SPOTS THAT
MAY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING OVERNIGHT WILL FREEZE ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY MORNING.

MODEL FORECASTS HAVE TRENDED A LITTLE WEST AND SOUTH WITH SNOW
CHANCES FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH
CLOUDINESS EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE FROM SOUTHEASTERN CO INTO
NORTHEASTERN NM AND THE OK/TX PANHANDLES IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH
AND EAST THROUGH FRIDAY. GIVEN THE LOW LEVEL DRY AIR THAT WILL BE
IN PLACE...AND THE STRONGEST LIFT FORECAST TO BE SOUTH OF THE
CWA...IT MAY BE TOUGH TO GET SNOW THIS FAR NORTH. HOWEVER...THE
POTENTIAL FOR SNOW ACROSS AT LEAST WESTERN NORTH TX IS HIGH ENOUGH
TO WARRANT A MENTION. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS BELOW ONE INCH ARE EXPECTED.

WE ELECTED NOT TO MAKE CHANGES TO THE FORECAST BEYOND SATURDAY.
THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME OF THE PRECIP FORECAST FOR EARLY
NEXT WEEK BEING OF THE FROZEN VARIETY AS THE TIMING AND EXTENT OF
COLD AIR INTRUSIONS FROM THE NORTH REMAIN QUITE UNCERTAIN.

TAYLOR

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  25  41  23  40 /   0  10  10  10 
HOBART OK         22  39  19  41 /   0  10  10  10 
WICHITA FALLS TX  27  42  25  41 /   0  10  20  30 
GAGE OK           15  36   9  38 /   0  10  10   0 
PONCA CITY OK     23  39  13  40 /   0  10  10  10 
DURANT OK         29  44  27  43 /   0  10  10  20 

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FREEZE WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM CST THURSDAY FOR 
     OKZ031-032-041>043-046>048-050>052.

TX...NONE.
&&

$$

23/03